Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Zegras 41.5% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 80.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 67.5%
Neutral zone
Zegras 57.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Lizotte
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Lizotte
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
39.4% (510)
+11.9%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
47.1% (34)
+14.0%
On power play, Lizotte has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Zegras
Home
52.5% (326)
42.3% (272)
Away
50.5% (281)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Lizotte
Zegras
P1
51.4%
37.6%
P2
56.3%
41.5%
P3
46.1%
40.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.6%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |