Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Zegras 43.3% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 58.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 82.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 63.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Lizotte
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lizotte
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
39.8% (128)
+8.1%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
22.2% (9)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
0.0% (1)
+41.3%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Zegras
Home
48.8% (170)
29.7% (74)
Away
45.1% (195)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Lizotte
Zegras
P1
44.4%
40.7%
P2
53.3%
35.1%
P3
43.0%
41.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
46.8%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |