Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Zegras 39.5% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 70.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 98.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 93.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Lizotte
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Lizotte
Zegras
Last 10: Lizotte 7-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
3
Lizotte
Zegras
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
9
1
Lizotte
Zegras
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
39.0% (1,703)
+12.6%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
38.5% (148)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
25.0% (8)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Zegras
Home
49.5% (1,840)
40.5% (908)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Lizotte
Zegras
P1
48.0%
40.0%
P2
52.3%
38.6%
P3
50.5%
38.2%
OT
75.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.2%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 03:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |