Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Zegras 40.2% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 66.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 98.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 92.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Lizotte
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Lizotte
Zegras
Last 10: Lizotte 7-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
3
Lizotte
Zegras
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
7
1
Lizotte
Zegras
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (3,005)
39.5% (1,582)
+12.2%
Power Play
49.4% (77)
41.4% (133)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (409)
28.6% (7)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lizotte is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,332).
Lizotte shoots left. Zegras is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Zegras
Home
49.8% (1,780)
40.6% (833)
Away
51.6% (1,711)
38.7% (889)
By Period
Lizotte
Zegras
P1
48.2%
41.2%
P2
52.8%
39.1%
P3
50.7%
38.5%
OT
66.7%
35.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |