Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Frost 46.2% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 55.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 63.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 56.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Horvat
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Horvat
Frost
Last 8: Horvat 4-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
3
Horvat
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
45.6% (833)
+9.1%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
46.0% (100)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
55.6% (18)
-3.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Horvat
Frost
Home
59.8% (853)
47.0% (440)
Away
53.8% (832)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Horvat
Frost
P1
55.0%
42.5%
P2
58.3%
47.9%
P3
57.8%
46.6%
OT
44.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.9%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |