Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.7% vs 57.1%). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Frost 56.4% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Frost 63.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 64.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 55.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Horvat
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
56.0% (755)
-0.3%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
60.1% (173)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
88.9% (9)
-40.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Horvat
Frost
Home
59.4% (537)
57.3% (497)
Away
54.0% (544)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Horvat
Frost
P1
59.9%
60.2%
P2
54.5%
56.0%
P3
56.1%
54.8%
OT
55.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
59.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%