Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Frost 49.9% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 51.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 81.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 70.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Horvat
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Horvat
Frost
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
Frost
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
6
8
Horvat
Frost
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,417)
49.0% (3,418)
+4.9%
Power Play
61.1% (2,637)
55.0% (600)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,476)
52.8% (36)
-5.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,575).
Horvat shoots left. Frost is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,654).
Home / Away
Horvat
Frost
Home
56.0% (8,277)
50.9% (1,943)
Away
52.9% (8,254)
49.0% (2,111)
By Period
Horvat
Frost
P1
54.1%
50.3%
P2
54.4%
51.0%
P3
54.9%
48.0%
OT
50.4%
64.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
54.4%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | OT | 00:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |