Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Frost 50.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 57.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 84.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 71.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Horvat
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Horvat
Frost
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
Frost
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
6
8
Horvat
Frost
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
49.7% (3,652)
+4.2%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
55.4% (632)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
55.0% (40)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Horvat
Frost
Home
56.1% (8,423)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Horvat
Frost
P1
54.1%
51.2%
P2
54.5%
51.3%
P3
55.0%
48.8%
OT
49.6%
64.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | OT | 00:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |