Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Frost 51.1% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 53.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 70.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 59.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Horvat
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Horvat
Frost
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
4
Horvat
Frost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
50.3% (825)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
54.9% (204)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
50.0% (4)
-4.3%
On even strength, Horvat has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Horvat
Frost
Home
59.2% (684)
50.7% (489)
Away
57.0% (635)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Horvat
Frost
P1
57.9%
53.6%
P2
55.4%
47.8%
P3
61.5%
52.0%
OT
53.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
58.2%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |