Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Zegras 42.6% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 70.2%
Defensive zone
Zegras 59.9%
Neutral zone
Zegras 68.6%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Jenner
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jenner
Zegras
Last 6: Jenner 2-4 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Jenner
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Jenner
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
41.1% (559)
+13.1%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
50.0% (12)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
50.0% (2)
-0.3%
On even strength, Jenner has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zegras
Home
56.7% (693)
45.7% (247)
Away
52.7% (693)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Jenner
Zegras
P1
57.1%
45.5%
P2
54.1%
36.8%
P3
53.0%
41.1%
OT
61.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |