Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Zegras 37.0% (+18.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 73.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 69.9%
Neutral zone
Zegras 52.5%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Jenner
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Jenner
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Jenner
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Jenner
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
33.0% (264)
+18.3%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
32.1% (56)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On power play, Jenner has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zegras
Home
52.7% (165)
35.3% (173)
Away
50.0% (144)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Jenner
Zegras
P1
49.0%
33.0%
P2
45.0%
35.7%
P3
59.5%
29.7%
Final 5 min
55.4%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |