Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs Zegras 41.3% (+14.6%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 52.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 55.9%
Neutral zone
Zegras 52.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Jenner
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
36.5% (156)
+13.8%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
40.7% (27)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
0.0% (3)
+58.8%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Jenner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Jenner shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zegras
Home
45.7% (81)
38.9% (113)
Away
54.8% (124)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Jenner
Zegras
P1
46.6%
40.0%
P2
58.3%
38.1%
P3
50.0%
31.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
36.6%