Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Zegras 39.5% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Zegras leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 67.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 83.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 62.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Jenner
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Jenner
Zegras
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
5
Jenner
Zegras
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
1
Jenner
Zegras
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Jenner
Zegras
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
39.0% (1,703)
+15.5%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
38.5% (148)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
25.0% (8)
+23.4%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,209).
Jenner shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Jenner
Zegras
Home
54.5% (4,073)
40.5% (908)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Jenner
Zegras
P1
53.6%
40.0%
P2
53.6%
38.6%
P3
54.5%
38.2%
OT
54.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |