Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 25.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.4% vs Zegras 41.5% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 65.2%
Defensive zone
Marchand 57.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 55.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Marchand
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
31.0% (29)
39.4% (510)
-8.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
47.1% (34)
-7.1%
On even strength, Zegras has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Marchand is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (32).
Marchand shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Marchand
Zegras
Home
42.1% (19)
42.3% (272)
Away
27.3% (22)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Marchand
Zegras
P1
31.6%
37.6%
P2
28.6%
41.5%
P3
50.0%
40.8%
Final 5 min
16.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.1%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
39.9%