Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +20.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 47.2% vs Zegras 37.0% (-20.4%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 70.1%
Defensive zone
Marchand 55.6%
Neutral zone
Zegras 57.2%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Marchand
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
12.5% (8)
33.0% (264)
-20.5%
On even strength, Zegras has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Marchand is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (6).
Marchand shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Marchand
Zegras
Home
16.7% (6)
35.3% (173)
Away
0.0% (2)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Marchand
Zegras
P1
16.7%
33.0%
P2
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
25.0%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
12.5%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%