Scouting Report
Brad Marchand holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 48.7% vs Zegras 41.3% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 52.3%
Defensive zone
Zegras 63.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 58.3%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Marchand
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
22.2% (9)
36.5% (156)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
0.0% (3)
+75.0%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Marchand is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Marchand shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Marchand
Zegras
Home
37.5% (8)
38.9% (113)
Away
40.0% (5)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Marchand
Zegras
P1
28.6%
40.0%
P2
40.0%
38.1%
P3
100.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.5%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
36.6%