Brady Tkachuk vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Pageau 56.7% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Tkachuk
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tkachuk
Pageau
Last 7: Tkachuk 5-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
1
Tkachuk
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tkachuk
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
58.8% (889)
-11.3%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
58.2% (182)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
48.6% (185)
-36.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Pageau
Home
49.9% (389)
59.0% (595)
Away
46.8% (376)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Tkachuk
Pageau
P1
44.4%
58.9%
P2
51.8%
57.9%
P3
47.8%
55.6%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
48.4%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |