Brady Tkachuk vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Pageau 58.7% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 74.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 68.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Tkachuk
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tkachuk
Pageau
Last 5: Tkachuk 3-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Tkachuk
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
59.6% (711)
-8.6%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
64.0% (114)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
56.4% (163)
-6.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Pageau
Home
50.0% (140)
59.3% (506)
Away
52.2% (207)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Tkachuk
Pageau
P1
54.3%
56.8%
P2
50.0%
64.4%
P3
49.5%
56.9%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
51.3%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |