Brady Tkachuk vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (95% H2H, 19 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Pageau 54.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 21-16 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 85.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 84.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Tkachuk
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
16
(37 meetings)
21
16
Tkachuk
Pageau
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
18
1
Tkachuk
Pageau
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
13
Tkachuk
Pageau
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tkachuk
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
55.8% (9,514)
-6.9%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
57.0% (1,007)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
49.6% (2,077)
-4.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,232).
Tkachuk shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,864).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Pageau
Home
50.7% (1,435)
56.3% (6,255)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Tkachuk
Pageau
P1
49.4%
54.7%
P2
51.3%
56.3%
P3
49.1%
53.5%
OT
55.3%
54.4%
Final 5 min
47.0%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2024 | OT | 03:17 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2024 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |