Brady Tkachuk vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 17 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 49.7% vs Pageau 54.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 83.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Tkachuk
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
13
(32 meetings)
19
13
Tkachuk
Pageau
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
16
1
Tkachuk
Pageau
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
11
Tkachuk
Pageau
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
1
Tkachuk
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,510)
55.7% (9,301)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.7% (1,254)
56.8% (989)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
49.5% (2,019)
-4.5%
On even strength, Pageau has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Tkachuk shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,648).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Pageau
Home
50.9% (1,394)
56.3% (6,136)
Away
48.6% (1,390)
53.2% (6,173)
By Period
Tkachuk
Pageau
P1
49.3%
54.7%
P2
51.0%
56.2%
P3
48.5%
53.3%
OT
54.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
49.7%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2024 | OT | 03:17 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2024 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |