Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.1%). Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Coyle 49.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 51.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 58.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 50.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Schenn
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Schenn
Coyle
Last 9: Schenn 4-5 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
3
Schenn
Coyle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
2
Schenn
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
50.6% (921)
-1.9%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
51.0% (96)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
30.1% (83)
+9.9%
On power play, Schenn has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Schenn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Schenn shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Home / Away
Schenn
Coyle
Home
49.0% (286)
51.8% (517)
Away
49.1% (293)
46.7% (583)
By Period
Schenn
Coyle
P1
47.7%
49.2%
P2
48.7%
52.8%
P3
51.4%
44.8%
OT
25.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
53.0%
49.1%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |