Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 55.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 53.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 58.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Howden
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Howden
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
45.8% (755)
+2.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
48.3% (60)
-48.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
27.6% (29)
+9.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Howden is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Howden shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Howden
MacKinnon
Home
52.6% (173)
49.5% (396)
Away
41.5% (118)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Howden
MacKinnon
P1
51.6%
50.2%
P2
37.1%
43.8%
P3
55.3%
41.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
48.1%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |