Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 47.5%). Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Lundeström 47.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 72.5%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 77.1%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 50.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Nelson
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Nelson
Lundeström
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Lundeström
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Lundeström
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
3
Nelson
Lundeström
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
47.5% (554)
-0.6%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
57.1% (7)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
46.3% (41)
-21.3%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Lundeström is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lundeström
Home
48.9% (521)
47.4% (266)
Away
45.5% (516)
47.6% (336)
By Period
Nelson
Lundeström
P1
45.9%
54.5%
P2
48.0%
44.4%
P3
48.0%
44.6%
OT
33.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
47.3%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |