Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Lundeström 47.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 83.1%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 81.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Nelson
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nelson
Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Lundeström
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
0
2
Nelson
Lundeström
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
0
1
Nelson
Lundeström
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
50.3% (626)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
60.0% (10)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
40.3% (300)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lundeström
Home
52.5% (590)
48.4% (504)
Away
51.7% (619)
45.8% (432)
By Period
Nelson
Lundeström
P1
50.5%
50.2%
P2
54.4%
43.5%
P3
51.4%
47.8%
OT
47.4%
71.4%
Final 5 min
57.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
52.1%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |