Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lundeström shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Lundeström 45.3% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 69.7%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 68.9%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 52.1%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Nelson
Lundeström
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
47.8% (278)
-1.7%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
31.3% (16)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
34.8% (92)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Lundeström is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lundeström
Home
48.7% (419)
46.3% (190)
Away
41.3% (368)
41.8% (196)
By Period
Nelson
Lundeström
P1
44.6%
40.2%
P2
47.3%
44.3%
P3
43.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
39.4%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.2%
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.0%