Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Lundeström 52.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.2%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 53.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Nelson
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nelson
Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Lundeström
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
0
1
Nelson
Lundeström
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
0
1
Nelson
Lundeström
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
53.3% (214)
-2.4%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
50.0% (4)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (205)
50.0% (26)
-6.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Nelson shoots left. Lundeström is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lundeström
Home
52.9% (654)
49.6% (139)
Away
48.9% (658)
57.1% (105)
By Period
Nelson
Lundeström
P1
48.4%
53.8%
P2
54.3%
53.5%
P3
50.5%
51.9%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Lundeström
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |