Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Miller 54.5% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 71.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 63.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 66.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Nelson
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Nelson
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Nelson
Miller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Miller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Nelson
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
55.7% (589)
-8.8%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
60.9% (138)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
47.2% (159)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Nelson
Miller
Home
48.9% (521)
56.1% (440)
Away
45.5% (516)
53.8% (446)
By Period
Nelson
Miller
P1
45.9%
52.3%
P2
48.0%
54.7%
P3
48.0%
57.2%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
47.3%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |