Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs McBain 41.9% (+15.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 67.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 66.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Nelson
McBain
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
37.2% (86)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
17.6% (17)
+11.0%
On even strength, Nelson has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. McBain is 28.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Nelson
McBain
Home
49.8% (458)
33.8% (68)
Away
49.0% (506)
34.3% (35)
By Period
Nelson
McBain
P1
50.1%
40.6%
P2
45.4%
40.5%
P3
52.7%
20.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.4%
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
34.0%