Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 47.5%). Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Kadri 47.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Nelson
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Nelson
Kadri
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
3
Nelson
Kadri
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
3
Nelson
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
46.2% (1,005)
+0.7%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
57.3% (199)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
26.7% (30)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kadri
Home
48.9% (521)
47.4% (641)
Away
45.5% (516)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Nelson
Kadri
P1
45.9%
46.9%
P2
48.0%
49.5%
P3
48.0%
46.2%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
47.3%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 06:20 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |