Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Kadri 46.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 70.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 65.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Nelson
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Nelson
Kadri
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Nelson
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
3
Nelson
Kadri
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
45.7% (1,295)
+5.6%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
52.7% (146)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
34.8% (23)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kadri
Home
52.5% (590)
46.5% (725)
Away
51.7% (619)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Nelson
Kadri
P1
50.5%
47.2%
P2
54.4%
44.9%
P3
51.4%
46.3%
OT
47.4%
51.4%
Final 5 min
57.3%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
52.1%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2025 | OT | 04:00 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 31, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:08 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |