Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 74.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 59.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 66.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Nelson
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
46.8% (154)
+3.1%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
0.0% (7)
+52.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
14.3% (21)
+14.3%
On power play, Nelson has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Sundqvist is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sundqvist
Home
49.8% (458)
42.3% (97)
Away
49.0% (506)
40.0% (85)
By Period
Nelson
Sundqvist
P1
50.1%
46.0%
P2
45.4%
45.9%
P3
52.7%
32.1%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.4%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |