Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Sundqvist 47.2% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 62.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Nelson
Sundqvist
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
48.8% (43)
-1.9%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
35.3% (17)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
0.0% (3)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Sundqvist is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sundqvist
Home
48.9% (521)
50.0% (34)
Away
45.5% (516)
34.5% (29)
By Period
Nelson
Sundqvist
P1
45.9%
50.0%
P2
48.0%
38.9%
P3
48.0%
41.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
35.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
47.3%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.9%