Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Noesen 45.9% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 60.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 66.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Nelson
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
41.1% (95)
+5.0%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
46.2% (13)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
100.0% (1)
-69.6%
On penalty kill, Noesen has a +69.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Noesen is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Nelson
Noesen
Home
48.7% (419)
36.2% (58)
Away
41.3% (368)
49.0% (51)
By Period
Nelson
Noesen
P1
44.6%
35.6%
P2
47.3%
48.3%
P3
43.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
39.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.2%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
42.2%