Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.8% vs Noesen 49.6% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 60.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 68.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Nelson
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (928)
64.3% (14)
-13.4%
Power Play
59.8% (179)
36.8% (19)
+23.0%
On power play, Nelson has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Nelson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Noesen is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Nelson
Noesen
Home
52.9% (654)
42.9% (14)
Away
48.9% (658)
52.6% (19)
By Period
Nelson
Noesen
P1
48.4%
35.7%
P2
54.3%
50.0%
P3
50.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.5%