Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.6% vs Noesen 49.6% (+1.0%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 61.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 74.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Nelson
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (694)
64.3% (14)
-14.3%
Power Play
56.3% (112)
36.8% (19)
+19.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Nelson is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Nelson shoots left. Noesen is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Nelson
Noesen
Home
50.4% (472)
42.9% (14)
Away
48.6% (477)
52.6% (19)
By Period
Nelson
Noesen
P1
47.2%
35.7%
P2
53.4%
50.0%
P3
47.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.5%