Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Noesen 49.2% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 53.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 65.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Nelson
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
48.3% (60)
+3.0%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
38.9% (18)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
71.4% (7)
-19.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Noesen is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Nelson
Noesen
Home
52.5% (590)
57.6% (33)
Away
51.7% (619)
42.3% (52)
By Period
Nelson
Noesen
P1
50.5%
37.9%
P2
54.4%
50.0%
P3
51.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
52.1%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%