Casey Mittelstadt vs Michael McCarron
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs McCarron 52.8% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 75.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 75.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 50.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Mittelstadt
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
54.5% (618)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
42.1% (19)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
35.3% (34)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Home
47.7% (583)
52.2% (339)
Away
46.4% (541)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Mittelstadt
McCarron
P1
50.0%
53.5%
P2
46.2%
50.6%
P3
45.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
47.1%
McCarron
32.0%▼
49.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |