Casey Mittelstadt vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 44.7% vs McCarron 54.0% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 89.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 58.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 69.0%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Last 5: Mittelstadt 1-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Mittelstadt
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Mittelstadt
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (886)
54.2% (756)
-9.5%
Power Play
40.2% (112)
55.6% (9)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
55.1% (158)
-15.1%
On power play, McCarron has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Mittelstadt shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Home
46.0% (491)
54.6% (445)
Away
42.4% (512)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Mittelstadt
McCarron
P1
44.0%
53.6%
P2
46.4%
55.6%
P3
41.9%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.2%
McCarron
32.0%▼
49.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |