Casey Mittelstadt vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.5%). Mittelstadt wins 59.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs McCarron 52.2% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 84.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 76.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 56.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Mittelstadt
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
52.5% (562)
-0.9%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
22.2% (9)
+37.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
54.3% (164)
+45.7%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Mittelstadt is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Mittelstadt shoots left. McCarron is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (525).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Home
60.7% (89)
52.5% (373)
Away
43.1% (65)
52.5% (362)
By Period
Mittelstadt
McCarron
P1
46.3%
58.9%
P2
52.9%
49.2%
P3
58.6%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
McCarron
32.0%▼
49.0%
52.5%