Casey Mittelstadt vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Mittelstadt wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs McCarron 52.1% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 86.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 78.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 54.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Mittelstadt
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
52.8% (697)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
18.2% (11)
+36.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
52.6% (211)
+47.4%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Mittelstadt shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Home
58.7% (92)
52.8% (477)
Away
42.0% (81)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Mittelstadt
McCarron
P1
47.7%
56.2%
P2
48.2%
52.4%
P3
56.7%
48.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%