Casey Mittelstadt vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs McCarron 52.7% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 89.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 61.6%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 69.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
6
Mittelstadt
McCarron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Mittelstadt
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,911)
53.3% (2,791)
-8.3%
Power Play
49.8% (660)
46.4% (84)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
50.5% (422)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,898).
Mittelstadt shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,305).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Home
46.8% (2,314)
52.2% (1,592)
Away
44.4% (2,353)
53.3% (1,705)
By Period
Mittelstadt
McCarron
P1
46.7%
54.3%
P2
46.2%
51.6%
P3
44.0%
52.3%
OT
38.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
McCarron
32.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |