Casey Mittelstadt vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs McCarron 52.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 90.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 58.3%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 72.1%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
3
0
Mittelstadt
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
6
Mittelstadt
McCarron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Mittelstadt
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,924)
53.3% (2,926)
-8.3%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
45.3% (86)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
50.1% (469)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Mittelstadt shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
McCarron
Home
46.7% (2,317)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
44.3% (2,369)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Mittelstadt
McCarron
P1
46.7%
53.8%
P2
46.1%
52.3%
P3
44.0%
51.9%
OT
36.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |