Chandler Stephenson vs Jordan Staal
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Staal 55.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 60.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Stephenson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Stephenson
Staal
Last 8: Stephenson 3-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Stephenson
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Stephenson
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
56.3% (1,115)
+1.4%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
61.2% (67)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
52.1% (292)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Staal
Home
56.2% (589)
58.3% (705)
Away
60.0% (573)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Stephenson
Staal
P1
58.3%
54.5%
P2
58.3%
58.2%
P3
57.9%
54.1%
OT
54.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |