Chandler Stephenson vs Jordan Staal

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stephenson 52.3% vs Staal 57.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Stephenson 81.6%
Defensive zone Staal 59.7%
Neutral zone Stephenson 62.2%
Result Chandler Stephenson favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Stephenson Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 6 (9 meetings)
3
6
Stephenson Staal
Last 9: Stephenson 3-6 Staal

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
2
Stephenson Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Stephenson Staal
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stephenson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
58.9% (1,096)
-7.3%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
68.4% (57)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
51.8% (222)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +7.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Staal
Home
52.5% (499)
57.0% (646)
Away
52.6% (551)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Stephenson
Staal
P1
50.2%
55.9%
P2
55.7%
55.4%
P3
50.9%
62.0%
OT
63.6%
70.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
63.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%
54.0%
52.6%
Staal
42.0%
54.0%
58.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 17, 2024 3 17:02 Offensive Jordan Staal
Feb 17, 2024 3 14:35 Defensive Jordan Staal
Feb 17, 2024 3 10:47 Offensive Jordan Staal
Feb 17, 2024 2 04:38 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Feb 17, 2024 1 17:13 Defensive Jordan Staal
Feb 17, 2024 1 10:51 Defensive Jordan Staal
Dec 19, 2023 2 14:21 Offensive Chandler Stephenson
Dec 19, 2023 1 07:51 Defensive Jordan Staal
Dec 19, 2023 1 01:27 Offensive Chandler Stephenson