Chandler Stephenson vs Jordan Staal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Staal 54.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 63.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 64.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 61.6%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Stephenson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stephenson
Staal
Last 5: Stephenson 1-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Stephenson
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
56.2% (989)
-4.2%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
66.0% (159)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
42.7% (253)
-3.2%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Staal
Home
53.1% (672)
55.4% (699)
Away
51.1% (628)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Stephenson
Staal
P1
54.2%
55.7%
P2
50.7%
54.7%
P3
52.0%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |