Chandler Stephenson vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Staal 55.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 32-30 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 63.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.3%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 55.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Stephenson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
32
(62 meetings)
30
32
Stephenson
Staal
Last 10: Stephenson 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
16
13
Stephenson
Staal
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
14
Stephenson
Staal
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
9
5
Stephenson
Staal
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,809)
55.9% (14,654)
-4.0%
Power Play
59.8% (1,113)
62.7% (1,762)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (825)
47.9% (2,907)
-2.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,069).
Stephenson shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Staal
Home
52.6% (3,827)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
52.1% (3,920)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Stephenson
Staal
P1
51.6%
55.2%
P2
52.3%
55.9%
P3
52.9%
54.8%
OT
57.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.4%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |