Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Kreider wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 45.8% vs Larkin 54.2% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 86.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 66.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Kreider
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kreider
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kreider
1
0
Kreider
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (59)
52.6% (1,117)
-15.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
60.7% (305)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
55.9% (177)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kreider is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Kreider shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Kreider
Larkin
Home
42.9% (35)
54.7% (783)
Away
36.4% (33)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Kreider
Larkin
P1
41.4%
55.9%
P2
37.9%
56.1%
P3
40.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
44.0%▲
37.5%
39.7%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |