Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Kreider wins 34.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 46.7% vs Larkin 52.2% (-14.6%)
Offensive zone
Kreider 64.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 68.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Kreider
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
34.6% (26)
51.1% (915)
-16.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
59.4% (261)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
48.2% (168)
-48.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kreider is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Kreider shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Kreider
Larkin
Home
47.4% (19)
51.7% (686)
Away
27.8% (18)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Kreider
Larkin
P1
50.0%
52.5%
P2
35.7%
52.7%
P3
27.3%
51.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
42.0%▲
38.0%
37.8%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%