Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Novak 46.5% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 51.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 83.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 73.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Dvorak
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dvorak
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
43.2% (118)
+12.5%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
47.8% (23)
+13.3%
On power play, Dvorak has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Novak
Home
59.0% (432)
50.7% (71)
Away
54.8% (535)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Dvorak
Novak
P1
58.7%
44.7%
P2
53.9%
50.0%
P3
57.2%
38.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
56.7%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |