Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Novak 43.5% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 58.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 87.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 71.0%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Dvorak
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dvorak
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
40.7% (460)
+16.3%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
61.5% (39)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Novak
Home
58.3% (151)
47.0% (236)
Away
57.4% (190)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Dvorak
Novak
P1
56.7%
43.1%
P2
56.7%
43.1%
P3
59.6%
40.1%
Final 5 min
61.8%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
57.8%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |