Christian Dvorak vs Tommy Novak
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Novak 43.0% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Novak leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Novak 68.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 76.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Dvorak
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Dvorak
Novak
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
1
2
Dvorak
Novak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Novak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Dvorak
Novak
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (6,785)
41.8% (1,568)
+11.3%
Power Play
55.7% (1,012)
51.5% (134)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (889)
50.0% (2)
+0.8%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Dvorak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,588).
Dvorak shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Novak
Home
54.7% (4,151)
45.1% (831)
Away
51.7% (4,535)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Dvorak
Novak
P1
54.5%
43.7%
P2
51.9%
42.8%
P3
53.1%
41.1%
OT
56.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:48 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |