Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs Hayes 49.5% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 59.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 85.4%
Neutral zone
Giroux 63.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Giroux
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Giroux
Hayes
Last 10: Giroux 5-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
3
Giroux
Hayes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
0
Giroux
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Giroux
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
48.5% (557)
+11.2%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
53.3% (107)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
58.3% (12)
-6.7%
On even strength, Giroux has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Giroux is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Giroux shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Giroux
Hayes
Home
59.5% (580)
50.8% (313)
Away
57.3% (641)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Giroux
Hayes
P1
56.6%
52.3%
P2
58.0%
47.7%
P3
60.8%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
64.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
58.3%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |