Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 26 meetings). Giroux wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.9% vs Hayes 47.7% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 39-26 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 96.4%
Defensive zone
Giroux 92.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 93.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 94.3%
94.3%
5.7%
Giroux
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
26
(65 meetings)
39
26
Giroux
Hayes
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
17
9
Giroux
Hayes
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
15
10
Giroux
Hayes
25 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Giroux
Hayes
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,886)
47.5% (6,708)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.5% (4,081)
51.7% (702)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (2,528)
45.3% (697)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,401).
Giroux shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Giroux
Hayes
Home
59.2% (10,265)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
54.6% (10,270)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Giroux
Hayes
P1
57.5%
47.5%
P2
56.2%
47.6%
P3
57.3%
47.9%
OT
51.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
58.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
56.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |