Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Hayes 51.7% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 68.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 73.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 71.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Giroux
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Giroux
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Giroux
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Giroux
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
51.6% (386)
+8.0%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
53.2% (47)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
60.0% (20)
+1.4%
On power play, Giroux has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Giroux
Hayes
Home
65.7% (461)
50.5% (200)
Away
57.7% (515)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Giroux
Hayes
P1
60.7%
58.8%
P2
63.7%
49.3%
P3
60.2%
48.0%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
61.5%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |