Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Hayes 56.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 54.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 55.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Giroux
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Giroux
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Giroux
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Giroux
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
56.6% (724)
-1.1%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
57.0% (79)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
65.7% (35)
-7.1%
On power play, Giroux has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Giroux
Hayes
Home
59.0% (576)
58.0% (405)
Away
56.9% (576)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Giroux
Hayes
P1
57.0%
54.7%
P2
58.1%
55.7%
P3
58.9%
60.2%
OT
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
58.0%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |