Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 58.3%
Defensive zone
Bedard 57.0%
Neutral zone
Bedard 55.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Bedard
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bedard
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Bedard
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
50.9% (913)
-12.0%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
59.0% (39)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
37.5% (160)
-12.5%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Bedard is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Bedard shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Bedard
Zibanejad
Home
40.2% (246)
51.1% (536)
Away
37.8% (286)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Bedard
Zibanejad
P1
39.9%
50.1%
P2
38.5%
47.3%
P3
39.0%
50.7%
OT
25.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
38.9%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |